Technology Roadmaps

the single point-of-entry to a collection of technology roadmaps

Latest/most recent document added comes on the top, hence the reverse numbering.
 At some point we will change the structure of this document.

TOC

16 FY2009 -2034 Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap  (US, OSD), 2009
15. USAF Unmanned Aircraft Systems Flight Plan 2009-2047 (US, USAF), 2009
14.The Navy Unmanned Surface Vehicle (USV) Master Plan  (US, Navy) 2007
13 The Navy Unmanned Undersea Vehicle (UUV) Master Plan (US, Navy) 2004
12 50 Year Outlook of Robot technology - Future Vision and Technical Challenges (Japan, summary slides Numao and Kuniyoshi) 2008

11. ITRS  (Semiconductors) (International), 2008-2009
10. US Robotics (US, CCC), 2009
9. Ambient Assisted Living (EU, ICT) 2009
8. Software Intensive Systems and New Computing Paradigms (EU, EC/FET), 2009
7. Ambient Computing and Communication Environments (EU, EC/FET), 2009
6. Intelligent and Cognitive Systems (EU, EC/FET), 2009
5. Strategic Technology Roadmap 2009: Roadmap for Strategic Planning and Implementation of R&D Investment (Japan, METI)
4. Energy Technology Roadmaps (International Energy Agency) 2009
3. Technology Roadmap: Electric and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (International Energy Agency) 2009

2. EURON Research Roadmaps (EU, EURON), 2004
1. EURON Technology Roadmaps (Surgical Robotics and Humanoid Robotics), (EU, EURON), 2004

16. 
FY2009 -2034 Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap
Second Edition of the integrated Office of the Secretary of Defense Unmanned Systems Roadmap (2009-2034) that includes Unmanned Aircraft systems, Unmanned Ground systems and Unmanned Maritime Systems
FY2009 -2034 Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap  at the original website.
USI RM in our archive

15.
USAF Unmanned Aircraft Systems Flight Plan 2009-2047
An actionable plan, characterized by Doctrine, Organization, Trianing, Materiel, Leadership and Education, Personnel, Facilities, and Policy recommendations, balancing lessons learned with future requirements.
 USAF Unmanned Aircraft Systems Flight Plan 2009-2047 at the original website.
USAF UAS Flight Plan in our archive
14
The Navy Unmanned Surface Vehicle (USV) Master Plan
The Unmanned Surface Vehicle (USV) Master Plan was chartered by the Program Executive Officer for Littoral and Mine Warfare (PEO (LMW)). It provides the guide for USV development to effectively meet the Navy's strategic planning and Fleet objectives and the force transformation goals of the Department of Defense (DoD)to the year 2020.
The Navy Unmanned Surface Vehicle (USV) Master Plan  at the original website.
The Navy USV Master Plan in our archive
13.
The Navy Unmanned Undersea Vehicle (UUV) Master Plan
The Unmanned Undersea Vehicle (UUV) Master Plan Update, chartered in December 2003 by the Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Navy and OPNAV N77 (Submarine Warfare Division), expands on the missions and technologies recommended in the Navy UUV Master Plan of April 2000. This Master Plan Update builds on the 2000 UUV Master Plan, updating missions, approaches, and technical and programmatic recommendations based on changes in Navy guidance, technology, platforms, and other factors since April 2000. The objectives of this Master Plan Update are to define UUV capabilities consistent with Sea Power 21, establish levels of performance for each capability, and to recommend the appropriate vehicle classes and technology investments required to efficiently achieve these recommended capabilities.
The Navy Unmanned Undersea Vehicle (UUV) Master Plan  at the original website.
The Navy Unmanned Undersea Vehicle (UUV) Master Plan on our website
12
50 Year Outlook of Robot Technology - Future Vision and Technical Challenges (Japan, summary slides Numao and Kuniyoshi)
Academic roadmap of robot technology 2008[2] is the result of collaboration by three major robotics research societies in Japan: The Robotics Society of Japan, Japan Society for Artificial Intelligence, and Japan Ergonomics Society. The activity started from 2006 and the first year report[1] is published in April, 2007 by mainly summarizing the 50-year evolution by examining the history. As the second year activity, we defined the following three outputs in order to make our activity more productive and effective: – Robot Future Image - to illustrate the future world with robot and to identify the goal, – Robot Evolutionary Graph - to illustrate the evolution by merging 50-year history and 50-year outlook, – Robot Challenges 30 - to identify the important problem which should be solved by young robotics researchers.
50 Year Outlook of Robot technology - Future Vision and Technical Challenges (paper)
50 Year Outlook of Robot technology - Future Vision and Technical Challenges (paper in our archive)
50yr Outlook SLIDES in our archive
11
The International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors, known throughout the world as the ITRS, is the fifteen-year assessment of the semiconductor industry’s future technology requirements. These future needs drive present-day strategies for world-wide research and development among manufacturers’ research facilities, universities, and national labs.
ITRS 2007 Edition  and the  ITRS 2008 Update

10
A Roadmap for US Robotics: From Internet to Robotics, is the result of an effort sponsored by the Computing Community Consortium (CCC) and led by 12 world class researchers from the leading robotics academic institutions in the United States. To articulate the need for the United States to establish a national robotech initiative, over 140 individuals from companies, laboratories, and universities from across the country joined forces to produce a definitive report that (1) identifies the future impact of robotics technology on the economic, social, and security needs of the nation, (2) outlines the various scientific and technological challenges, and (3) documents a technological roadmap to address those challenges. The project included three application oriented workshops that focused on efforts across the manufacturing, healthcare/medical, and services robotics markets; plus one on blue-sky research that addressed a number of enabling technologies that must be the focus of sustained research and application development in order for the U.S. to remain a leader in robotics technology and commercial development. The report includes a summary of the major findings across all of the workshops, the opportunities and challenges specific to each of the three targeted markets, and recommended actions that must be taken if the United States is to remain globally competitive in robotics technology. Detailed reports from each of the four workshops are also available.
200Roadmap for US Robotics 2009 Edition

9
Ambient Assisted Living Roadmap
The first part of this document firstly describes the main trends towards AAL, analysed from a demographic, economic and technological point of view, and the barriers for their deployment, identified for each stakeholder of AAL, i. e. users and caregivers (primary stakeholders), organisations offering services (secondary stakeholders), organisations supplying goods and services (tertiary stakeholders) and organisations analysing the economical and legal
context of AAL (quaternary stakeholders). Starting with the identification of the needs of elderly people to live independently in different contexts and of the necessary technological support, the field of AAL is grouped in three principal application domains. These argumentations will be described in detail in
the second part of the roadmap. More precisely, AAL has firstly to be distinguished from more traditional forms of (ICT enabled) assistive technologies by emphasizing the important role of ambient intelligence in AAL technologies. These technologies have to be embedded (non invasive or invisible devices, distributed throughout the environment or directly integrated into appliances or furniture), personalized (tailored to the users’ needs), adaptive (responsive to the user and the user’s environment) and anticipatory (anticipating users’ desires as far as possible without conscious mediation). Ambient intelligence therefore refers to electronic environments that are sensitive and responsive to the presence of people: Ambient intelligence covers both the concept of ubiquitous computing and intelligent social user interface. It ac-commodates the following needs: to offer a secure environment and peace of mind, to select food and drink I like within the constraints of my diet, to stay in touch with friends and family who also give me reassurance and to organize and receive healthcare in my home. In conclusion, ambient assisted living is the utilization of ambient intelligence in the respective social domains of ageing at home and abroad, ageing in society, ageing at work2. However, taking the aspect of ambient intelligence in AAL seriously, one has to be aware that – in reality – a person using AAL traverses multiple physical spaces (room, home, car, workplace, shops, out-doors) and virtual spaces (e-shopping, gaming, chatting, searching for or planning activities) throughout the day, depending on current activity or focus. Therefore, the distinction between different domains can only be a logical, not a practical one. The third part of the document will also provide a broad and detailed description of the technologies,
on which the applications and functionalities of the previous domains are based. Finally this document will revolve around the system integration and interoperability, i. e. how to compose an AAL system. In AAL these different functions, provided by a heterogeneous set of disciplines (e. g. advanced human/machine interfaces, sensors, microelectronics, software, web & network technologies, energy generation or harvesting, control technologies, new materials and robotics), have to be integrated in a system that offers applications and services in a user-centred way. ...

Ambient Assisted Living Roadmap

8.
Report on Road-Mapping Research in Software-Intensive Systems and New Computing Paradigms
Current and future developments in software-intensive systems (SiS) mean that the science and technology of SiS has to face the challenges of scale, distribution and adaptation. The following are some socio-economic factors that influence these challenges and are
in turn being influenced by more powerful SiS: 1. Unlimited connectivity: Mobile systems and increasing miniaturisation lead to a myriad of interconnected
communication and computation devices. 2. Globalisation: the globalised economy is both enabled by and a cause of advances in ICT. Guarantees
of reliability become business-critical for companies. 3. Security: larger networks and more interconnectedness make security an even greater challenge
than it has been in the past. 4. Embedded systems: Miniaturisation and price decreases of micro-controllers has lead to them being ubiquitous. A new tendency to connect different controllers increases the demands on correctness, trustworthiness and resilience of systems. 5. Monitoring and control of large systems: The trend to software-based control is also evident for large facilities, such as industrial plants or national infrastructure. Many of the functionalities provided by these facilities would not be possible without sophisticated software control.
Road-Mapping Research in Software-Intensive Systems and New Computing Paradigms

7.
Report on Road-mapping Research in Ambient Computing and Communication Environments
While the area of Ambient Computing and Communication Environments evidently faces a large number of issues and challenges, the report highlights in its first part especially two grand themes as being of major relevance: “Socially Aware Ambient Intelligence” and “Privacy, Trust, and Identity”.  Applications and services will behave in a “socially aware” way. They will provide a sense of involvement and knowledge about the social behavior of other persons, such as their degree of attention, desire for customization and control, their emotional state, interests as well as their desire to engage in social interactions. The provision of smart service requires extensive data collection and analysis of personal private data. Socially aware services imply also an increase in voluntarily sharing of personal and intimate data for friends and peer groups. Both aspects call for Privacy Enhancing Technologies (PETs) and making them an integral part of system design addressing the conflict of ubiquitous and unobtrusive data collection/provision with human control and attention.
The concept of “The Humane City” was developed as our vision for the City of the Future and the future of Urban Living. We developed the vision of a city where people enjoy everyday life and work, have multiple opportunities to exploit their human potential and lead a creative life. We
call it “The Humane City”.In order to contribute to overcoming the gap between today’s situation and the vision of the future as expressed in the goal “Towards the Humane City: Designing Future Urban Interaction and Communication Environments”, twelve research lines were developed. We recommend to use them as constituents of future research agendas in the area of Ambient Computing and Communication Environments.
Their headings are: R1: Rationale for Humane/All-inclusive Cities (users are citizens) R2: Tangible Interaction and Implicit vs. Explicit Interaction
R3: Hybrid Symmetric Interaction between Real and (multiple) Virtual worlds R4: Space-Time Dispersed Interfaces R5: Crowd and Swarm Based Interaction R6: Spatial and Embodied Smartness (distributed cognitive systems, outside-in robot) R7: Awareness and Feedback (sensors, physiological, environmental …) R8: Emotion Processing (affective computing) R9: Social Networks and Collective Intelligence R10: Self-Organization in Socially Aware Ambient Systems R11: Realization and User Experience of Privacy and Trust R12: Scaling (as the major horizontal issue)
Road-mapping Research in Ambient Computing and Communication Environments

6.
Report on Road-mapping Research in Intelligent and Cognitive Systems,  defines challenges and deficits in this field of research and proposes a new paradigm whereby we can move beyond the current status. According to the proposed paradigm, research in cognitive systems should be carried out in the context of understanding the processes that lead to autonomous growth and development of the cognitive systems and goes beyond taskorientation.
In this context, semantics will arise from the interaction of an agent with its environment and other agents. Along that direction, four research themes and several major research lines within each theme have been indentified: • Processes and representations for emergence (system internal view) • Emergent cooperation (system external view) • Embodiment for guiding design (system basis and frameworks view) • Principled benchmarks (system evaluation view) The key issues underneath the identified research themes are (a) the need to understand the environment that shaped human evolution in order to understand design requirements, (b) and  how humans combine mechanisms that evolved at different times to meet different requirements and (c) the need to understand more varieties of information-processing mechanism than have so far been developed.
Road-mapping Research in Intelligent and Cognitive Systems

5.
Strategic Technology Roadmap 2009: Roadmap for Strategic Planning and Implementation of R&D Investment. The Japan Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) called upon industry, academia, and government experts to combine their knowledge and experience to formulate the Strategic Technology Roadmap (STR) 2009 in cooperation with NEDO and other agencies. This latest STR contains updates on existing technologies and focuses on a greater range of technologies in 30 fields.
Press release
A complete version (in Japanese)

4
Energy Technology Roadmaps from international Energy Agency

Energy Technology Roadmaps 2009 Paper Detail
Technology Roadmaps - Carbon Capture and Storage 2009 Paper Detail
Technology Roadmaps - Charting a Low-Carbon Energy Revolution 2009 Paper Detail
Technology Roadmaps - Carbon Capture and Storage: Targets (printing version) 2009 Brochure Detail
Technology Roadmaps - Carbon Capture and Storage: Targets (viewing version) 2009 Brochure Detail
Technology Roadmaps - PV: Targets (printing version) 2009 Brochure Detail
Technology Roadmaps - PV: Targets (viewing version) 2009 Brochure Detail
Technology Roadmaps - Wind: Targets (printing version) 2009 Brochure Detail
Technology Roadmaps - Wind: Targets (viewing version) 2009 Brochure Detail
Technology Roadmaps - EV/PHEV: Targets (printing version) 2009 Brochure Detail
Technology Roadmaps - EV/PHEV: Targets (viewing version) 2009 Brochure Detail
Technology Roadmaps - Electric and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (EV/PHEV) 2009 Paper Detail
Technology Roadmaps - Wind Energy 2009 Brochure Detail
Technology Roadmaps - Cement 2009 Paper Detail
Technology Roadmaps - Cement: Targets (printing version) 2009 Brochure Detail
Technology Roadmaps - Cement: Targets (viewing version) 2009 Brochure Detail
Roadmapping Coal's Future 2005 Paper Detail


3
Technology Roadmap: Electric and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles
 The International Energy Agency (IEA), at the request of the G8, is developing a series of roadmaps for some of the most important technologies
needed for achieving a global energy-related CO2 target in 2050 of 50% below current levels. Each roadmap develops a growth path for the covered technologies from today to 2050, and identifies technology, financing, policy and public engagement milestones that need to be
achieved to realise the technology’s full potential. These roadmaps also include special focus on technology development and diffusion to emerging
economies, to help foster the international collaboration that is critical to achieving global GHG emissions reduction.
The Electric and Plug-in Hybrid Vehicle (EV/PHEV) Roadmap for the first time identifies a detailed scenario for the evolution of these types of
vehicles and their market penetration, from annual production of a few thousand to over 100 million vehicles by 2050. It finds that the next
decade is a key “make or break” period for EVs and PHEVs: governments, the automobile industry, electric utilities and other stakeholders must work
together to roll out vehicles and infrastructure in a coordinated fashion, and ensure that the rapidly growing consumer market is ready to purchase them. The roadmap concludes with a set of nearterm actions that stakeholders will need to take to achieve the roadmap’s vision. It is the IEA’s hope
that this roadmap provides additional focus and urgency to the international discussions about the importance of electric-drive vehicles as a technology solution.

Technology Roadmap: Electric and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles
2.
EURON Research Roadmaps presents the first draft of the EURON robotics research roadmap for developing and employing advanced robot technology over the next 10 - 20 years (2002 to 2022). (Project started in 2001, document finalized in 2004).
The document describes the tasks and missions identified for future robot generation systems and areas to which these systems could be applied, and compares them to theoretical and technological advances required to implement the intended robotic systems. The envisaged applications are not only technology-driven, but they take into account a vision on future societal needs in Europe, such as the aging society, limited resources,
environment, quality of life and health, as well as opportunities for economic growth. A series of trends is discussed to forecast technological advances over this period in the key areas of mechatronics, perception, action control, MMI, intelligent behaviour and micro/nano technology as well as information processing capabilities. The results are roadmaps of capability-enhancing technologies plotted against the life span of current and actual
projected robot systems. It is a map of opportunities, not point designs - a descriptive, not a prescriptive future for
robot system technology and its applications. This study identifies R&D needs necessary to reach the envisaged goals.
Furthermore, the conclusions at the end of this report include a European perspective of opportunities offered by the new robotic technologies and system approaches and a list of actions that should be taken in order to accelerate the achievement of the goals. To this aim, we highlight opportunities in the broad areas of technology, operations, and organizations, that the robotics industry or other -related organizations may wish to consider when
developing plans and budgets for future robotics R&D activity.

EURON Research Roadmaps in HTML
EURON Research Roadmaps in PDF   (this pdf link appeared broken at the time of  this doc, hence the html above)

1.
EURON Technology Roadmaps: Surgical Robotics and Humanoid Robotics
Technology Roadmaps: Surgical Robotics and Humanoid Robotics